受联合国委托、InterAcademy Council对IPCC2007年气候报告的评价结果出来了。


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送交者: Amsel 于 2010-08-31, 22:18:49:

报告在这里:
http://reviewipcc.interacademycouncil.net/report.html

就科学本森而言,最重要的意见就是这一条:

引用:
Recommendation: Quantitative probabilities (as in the likelihood scale) should be used to
describe the probability of well-defined outcomes only when there is sufficient evidence.
Authors should indicate the basis for assigning a probability to an outcome or event (e.g.,
based on measurement, expert judgment, and/or model runs).

它所指出的无非就是这一点:IPCC报告里面所谓的"very likely" (90%)之类的判断并没有依据。




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